Sabtu, 13 April 2019

Ebook Free Children's Writers' & Artists' Yearbook 2017 (Writers' and Artists')From Yearbooks

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Children's Writers' & Artists' Yearbook 2017 (Writers' and Artists')From Yearbooks


Children's Writers' & Artists' Yearbook 2017 (Writers' and Artists')From Yearbooks


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Children's Writers' & Artists' Yearbook 2017 (Writers' and Artists')From Yearbooks

Foreword by Frances Hardinge

The annual, bestselling guide to all aspects of the media and how to write and illustrate for children and young adults. Acknowledged by the media industries and authors as the essential guide to how to get published.

The 70+ articles are updated and added to each year. Together they provide invaluable guidance on subjects such as series fiction, writing historical or funny books, preparing an illustration portfolio, managing your finances, interpreting publishers' contracts, self-publishing your work.

NEW articles for the 2017 edition included on:

- Wanting to be a writer by Simon Mason
- Finding new readers and markets by Tom Palmer
- News and trends in children's publishing 2015-16 by Caroline Horn
- Series fiction: writing as a part of a team by Lucy Courtenay
- Creating a children's comic by Tom Fickling

All of the 2,000 listings of who to contact across the media have been reviewed and updated.

The essential guide for any writer for children.

  • Sales Rank: #673927 in Books
  • Published on: 2016-09-22
  • Released on: 2016-09-22
  • Original language: English
  • Dimensions: 8.29" h x 1.42" w x 5.90" l, .0 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 480 pages

Review
"Whenever people ask me about how to get their work for children published . . . the first words to come out of my mouth are always: Children's Writers' & Artists' Yearbook." - Michael Rosen

"Take the great advice that's in this Yearbook." - David Almond

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Children's Writers' & Artists' Yearbook 2017 (Writers' and Artists')From Yearbooks PDF
Children's Writers' & Artists' Yearbook 2017 (Writers' and Artists')From Yearbooks PDF

Sabtu, 06 April 2019

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Demand-Driven Forecasting: A Structured Approach to ForecastingBy Charles W. Chase

An updated new edition of the comprehensive guide to better business forecasting

Many companies still look at quantitative forecasting methods with suspicion, but a new awareness is emerging across many industries as more businesses and professionals recognize the value of integrating demand data (point-of-sale and syndicated scanner data) into the forecasting process. Demand-Driven Forecasting equips you with solutions that can sense, shape, and predict future demand using highly sophisticated methods and tools. From a review of the most basic forecasting methods to the most advanced and innovative techniques in use today, this guide explains demand-driven forecasting, offering a fundamental understanding of the quantitative methods used to sense, shape, and predict future demand within a structured process. Offering a complete overview of the latest business forecasting concepts and applications, this revised Second Edition of Demand-Driven Forecasting is the perfect guide for professionals who need to improve the accuracy of their sales forecasts.

  • Completely updated to include the very latest concepts and methods in forecasting
  • Includes real case studies and examples, actual data, and graphical displays and tables to illustrate how effective implementation works
  • Ideal for CEOs, CFOs, CMOs, vice presidents of supply chain, vice presidents of demand forecasting and planning, directors of demand forecasting and planning, supply chain managers, demand planning managers, marketing analysts, forecasting analysts, financial managers, and any other professional who produces or contributes to forecasts

Accurate forecasting is vital to success in today's challenging business climate. Demand-Driven Forecasting offers proven and effective insight on making sure your forecasts are right on the money.

  • Sales Rank: #209589 in Books
  • Brand: Brand: Wiley
  • Published on: 2013-08-19
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.30" h x 1.23" w x 6.30" l, 1.30 pounds
  • Binding: Hardcover
  • 384 pages
Features
  • Used Book in Good Condition

From the Inside Flap

To become demand-driven, your business needs to identify the right market signals, build demand-sensing capabilities, define demand-shaping processes, and effectively translate demand signals to create a more effective response. Doable? Now it is, with Demand-Driven Forecasting, Second Edition.

Distinctive for its attention to practical demand forecasting challenges, Demand-Driven Forecasting, Second Edition is completely updated with a detailed look at improving the forecasting process to better meet customer demands. Author and demand forecasting leader Charles Chase presents both comprehensive coverage of statistical methods as well as how to apply them in practice within a demand-driven forecasting process using actual data and examples.

Featuring new case studies and examples, Demand-Driven Forecasting, Second Edition includes the contributions of the latest theoretical developments, while presenting current empirical findings and technology advancements. The new edition features new coverage on demand-shifting, nonseasonal and seasonal ARIMA models, transfer functions, and cross-correlation function plots.

Plus, the Second Edition explores:

  • Weighted combined modeling
  • New product forecasting using structured judgment
  • Application of additive and multiplicative Winters methods
  • Using graphical methods and plots to understand statistical output
  • The most recent developments in demand-driven forecasting

Essential reading for every professional responsible for forecasting and demand planning, Demand-Driven Forecasting, Second Edition provides you with proven processes, methodologies, and performance metrics you can apply immediately for significant improvement in forecast accuracy.

From the Back Cover

Praise for Demand-Driven Forecasting

"Charlie Chase is one of the top thought leaders in the business forecasting community, making him eminently qualified to write what I consider to be the definitive book on demand-driven forecasting. This Second Edition takes the reader from a review of the most basic forecasting methods, to the most advanced time-series methods, and then on to the most innovative techniques in use today."
—Lawrence "Larry" Lapide, PhD, Research Affiliate, MIT Center for Transportation & Logistics Lecturer, University of Massachusetts, Recipient of the Institute of Business Forecasting & Planning's inaugural Lifetime Achievement in Business Forecasting & Planning Award

"It is with profound pleasure that I am endorsing one of my favorite books, Demand-Driven Forecasting, by one of the sharpest minds in the field of business forecasting. Charlie Chase has created a truly holistic book, which allows a rare focus on key methodologies and real business challenges that is highly relevant for CPG companies. This Second Edition has expanded into the field of new product forecasting, a key discipline that makes or breaks forecasting success in a world of increasingly shorter product life cycles. In short: If you are looking for a book on forecasting that has it all, then you have found it. Demand-Driven Forecasting is a must-read."
—Lauge Valentin, Director of Forecasting, The LEGO Group

"Charlie Chase has delivered a text that provides forecasters at all levels with practical knowledge and the quantitative tools that will allow them to make a significant leap in modeling and predicting demand. Using plain and concise language, he integrates real-world examples with discussions of advanced statistical methods to demonstrate how to develop forecasting solutions by applying the power of analytics. Those in forecasting will benefit from the knowledge found in this book and by keeping it handy as a valuable reference."
—Glenn Keltner, PhD, Manager, Demand Planning Development, Nestle Purina PetCare Company

About the Author

CHARLES W. CHASE Jr. is the Chief Industry Consultant in SAS's Manufacturing & Supply Chain Global Practice, where he is the principal architect and strategist for delivering demand planning and forecasting solutions to improve SAS customers' supply chain efficiencies. He has more than twenty-six years of experience in the consumer packaged goods industry, and is an expert in sales forecasting, market response modeling, econometrics, and supply chain management.

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